Sometimes
people, hopefully not those in decision-making positions, say things that just
scare the living daylights out of me. A prime example is when someone, out of
utter frustration, advocates using “limited-range” nuclear weapons on
terrorists.
As much
as some people would like to believe that it “might make em think twice,” it
won’t. Terrorists, especially ideological terrorists, are on a mission to
destroy all opposition to their dogmatic beliefs.
Killing
such people will not make them “think twice.” First, they firmly believe they have
nothing to lose. And, second, dying for the “cause” is an honor for which they’ll
receive an eternal reward. They actually look forward to it.
Another
name for “limited-range” nuclear weapons is tactical nuclear weapons. So, let’s
differentiate the two types of nukes: tactical and strategic.
There
are many forms of tactical nuclear weapons. And, while they do have limited
capacity, all of them have a common goal: killing lots of people while preserving
infrastructure.
Strategic
nuclear weapons, on the other hand, are an entirely different story. Once the
nightmare of nuclear attack became a reality, nuclear proliferation became inevitable. Deterrence through mutually assured annihilation is NOW the norm.
And, the
basic difference between “conventional” nukes and “thermo-nukes” is hydrogen.
Thanks to the efforts of the old Soviet Union and the United States, the A-bomb
became the H-bomb.
The
United States has already used nuclear weapons. We ended the Second World War by
dropping atomic bombs of Hiroshima and Nagasaki.
I don’t
raise the point as an attempt at moral justification or condemnation. It’s a
matter of historical fact. It is also critical to understanding the perspective
between using nukes THEN as opposed to attempts to use them NOW.
So,
please bear with me. Nothing of which I’m about to write is theoretical. These
are hard, cold facts, some of which are not pleasant.
First,
let me take you through some weapons history for this nation as observed
through the mind of one of our greatest scientists: the late Carl Sagan. He
wrote a book back in 1997 titled, Billions & Billions.
There
was a chapter devoted to the Battle of Gettysburg in which he discussed weapons
progression in detail. I’ve lost my copy, so I’m going to recall as much of it
as I can from memory, taking great liberty with the art of paraphrasing.
In 1863,
the Battle of Gettysburg produced 51,000 casualties (ALL MILITARY). War
historians dubbed that battle as the “beginning of modern warfare.” The Union
used modern weapons (Spencer Repeating Rifles). They also introduced air
reconnaissance (via the use of hot air balloons).
They
used the “newest” artillery and transported troops to and from some battlefields
using the nation’s rail system.
The canons
they used were modern by the existing standards of the time. They had an effective
range of between 1- and 1.5 miles. They used around 20-pounds of TNT—about one
hundredth of a ton. They had a kill count, if properly grouped, of two or three
people at each firing.
In
1942-43 (about 80-years later), we developed a bomb called the Block Buster.
The defense department named it this because it could destroy an entire city
block. Its explosive power was equivalent to about 10-tons of TNT (1,000 times
more than the cannons of 1863). The things could kill between 25- and 40-people
with each hit.
Towards
the end of the war (around 1945), the Manhattan Project had given us the first
nuclear weapon: the atomic bomb (“A-bomb”). It detonated with the power of
about 10,000 tons of TNT, an increase of another 1,000 times greater than the
Block Buster. In just a COUPLE of years!
Drop
just one of them and POOF! A quarter of a million humans GONE—many simply
vaporized while hundreds of thousands of others died in much slower, far more
agonizing ways.
The
combined efforts of the former Soviet Union and the United States ushered in
the era of thermo-nuclear weapons. These babies deliver the killing power of
10,000,000 tons of TNT.
Killing
a quarter million people is child’s play for this caliber of weapon. This level
of nuclear nightmare kills multiple millions at a pop, not to mention the fact
that they leave millions of square acres of land uninhabitable for hundreds of
thousands of years.
The USSR
is gone. But its heart and soul, Russia, still possesses the weapons. In 1990,
there were around 60,000 nuclear weapons around the globe in the hands of
various nations, including the United States.
The
weapon count is lower now. But, with the exception of our own, neither we,
Russia, Pakistan, India, China, Israel, North Korea (now emerging), Iran (now
emerging), and a few we have yet to hear about, even know where many of them
are located.
But fear
NOT! The terrorists of the world—and not just the Middle easterners, either—have
dedicated themselves to finding them. It’s only a matter of time.
No
matter how badly we’d like to do it, we, the most powerful nation on this
planet, cannot prevent the proliferation of nuclear weapons. The Russians can’t
do it, either. NO NATION CAN DO IT.
Think
about it. From 1863 to 2009, the world went from the explosive power one
hundredth of a ton of TNT to 10-tons of TNT to 10,000-tons of TNT to 10-MILLION
tons of TNT. We went from the killing power of a relative handful per pop to
killing hundreds of millions per pop.
The
arithmetic is simple. Multiply 1,000 times 1,000, times 1,000 and you get
1,000,000,000 (THAT”S ONE BILLION). Over a period of 146-years, we’ve increased
our killing power by a factor of a billion.
And the
question we have to consider is whether we’re a billion times wiser. While Dr.
Sagan didn’t actually answer the question in his book, I’ll do so here. NO, we’re
not! And, I don’t mean just NO, but HELL NO!
Like it
or not, there is no longer such a thing as a contained nuclear strike. Nuclear
proliferation is a fact of global life. The matter would escalate in a matter
of days, possibly even hours. Every legitimate scientist in the world knows it,
too.
A
nuclear war would kill hundreds of millions of people throughout the world. The
difference, however, is the fact that, unlike Gettysburg, the majority of causalities
would be non-military: innocent men, women, and children.
The bulk
of these would be people who had no stake whatsoever in the confrontation
between the initiating powers. Most of them would simply be innocent victims of
circumstance.
Harry
Truman ended WWII with the use of nuclear weapons. I happen to think he made
the right choice. But, it’s beside the point. The ONLY reason that the world
did not end up in a state of nuclear Armageddon is that no other nation had
nuclear capability.
So,
things turned out well for us in 1945. But, circumstances are much different NOW.
If ANY country goes nuclear today, the others will respond in kind,
AUTOMATICALLY. The “If we’re going to die, so are you” mentality will take
over. It won’t be pleasant.
People
who think we could survive it probably don’t understand the difference between
living and existing. The “Stone Age” was status-quo for those alive at the
time. But, the aftermath of a nuclear holocaust will make that era seem like
paradise.
At my
age, and with a little luck, I’ll not have to face it. I’m grateful for it,
too. THERE WILL BE NO WINNERS!
Joe Walther is a freelance writer and
publisher of The True Facts. You may comment on his column by clicking here.
